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DR

Dorian Reed

PREDICTIVE INTELLIGENCE DESK
Senior Quantitative Analyst & Predictive Intelligence Lead
Alternative Telemetry & Prediction Consensus Desk • FINPULSE 360 Bureau
d.reed@finpulse360.org

Computational Econometrician. Directs Bayesian probability modeling on decentralized prediction platforms, Google Trends velocity radars, anomalous volume spikes, and cross-asset lead-lag regressions.

FOCUS BACKGROUND: Computational Econometrics & Prediction Market Microstructure
AREAS OF SPECIALIZATION: Polymarket Implied Probability • Google Trends Search Breakouts • Lead-Lag Correlation Matrices • Macro Decoupling Regimes
RESEARCH & DISPATCH REPOSITORY

Recent Dispatches & Market Intelligence

12 verified dispatches
Retail Search Frenzy for 'Oilprice.com' Signals Crowded Short as Brent Tests $105 COMMODITIES
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-26 11:35:56 UTC

Retail Search Frenzy for 'Oilprice.com' Signals Crowded Short as Brent Tests $105

2026-10-26, FP360 — Google Trends volume for 'oilprice.com' spiked 380% in 24 hours as Brent crude pierced $105.20, driven by a 3.2 mb draw ...

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Copper Cash-3M Spread Flips to $180 Backwardation as Codelco Strike Halts 120kt Output MARKETS
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-26 10:40:47 UTC

Copper Cash-3M Spread Flips to $180 Backwardation as Codelco Strike Halts 120kt Output

2026-10-26, FP360 — The LME copper cash-to-3-month spread flipped to a $180 backwardation, its widest since 2022, after a strike at Codelco'...

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Crypto Perp Funding Rates Hit -0.08% as $1.8B Longs Liquidated in Sharp Selloff CRYPTO
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-26 07:10:46 UTC

Crypto Perp Funding Rates Hit -0.08% as $1.8B Longs Liquidated in Sharp Selloff

2026-10-26, FP360 — Crypto perpetual funding rates plunged to -0.08% — the most negative since March — while $1.8 billion in long positions ...

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CFTC Unveils Emergency Rulemaking on Prediction-Market Manipulation; Polymarket and Kalshi Face Position Limits MARKETS
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-26 05:50:50 UTC

CFTC Unveils Emergency Rulemaking on Prediction-Market Manipulation; Polymarket and Kalshi Face Position Limits

2026-10-26, FP360 — The CFTC launched emergency rulemaking on prediction-market manipulation after a whistleblower alleged wash trading in e...

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Grain Prices Whiplash as Drought Cuts Wheat Output, Shipping Strains Lift Softs COMMODITIES
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-26 01:40:43 UTC

Grain Prices Whiplash as Drought Cuts Wheat Output, Shipping Strains Lift Softs

2026-10-26, FP360 — Wheat futures jumped 4.2% to $8.15 per bushel as drought slashed Australia's output by 18% and Black Sea export disrupti...

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Polymarket Volume Surges to $400 as US Default Odds Hold at 1% for 2027 TREASURY
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-26 01:05:45 UTC

Polymarket Volume Surges to $400 as US Default Odds Hold at 1% for 2027

2026-10-26, FP360 — Polymarket's "US defaults on debt by 2027?" market saw $400 in 24-hour volume, with the implied probability of a US sove...

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HBM Allocation Locked Through 2027 as Advanced Packaging Lead Times Hit 58 Weeks MARKETS
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-25 22:15:46 UTC

HBM Allocation Locked Through 2027 as Advanced Packaging Lead Times Hit 58 Weeks

2026-10-25, FP360 — High-bandwidth memory allocation for 2027 is now effectively sold out at SK Hynix, Samsung and Micron, while CoWoS advan...

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SNB Calls Emergency Meeting as Franc Pierces 0.80 per Euro, Deflation Threat Mounts MACRO
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-25 21:55:50 UTC

SNB Calls Emergency Meeting as Franc Pierces 0.80 per Euro, Deflation Threat Mounts

2026-10-25, FP360 — The Swiss National Bank convened an emergency policy meeting after the franc surged past 0.80 per euro for the first tim...

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Binance Smart Chain Gas Burns 18% of Supply as DeFi Frenzy Strains Network CRYPTO
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-25 21:10:46 UTC

Binance Smart Chain Gas Burns 18% of Supply as DeFi Frenzy Strains Network

2026-10-25, FP360 — Binance Smart Chain's on-chain activity has exploded, with daily transactions hitting 14.2 million and gas fees soaring ...

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Fed Cut Odds Surge as Overnight Repo Usage Collapses Below $300B, Signaling Reserve Scarcity MARKETS
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-25 19:50:48 UTC

Fed Cut Odds Surge as Overnight Repo Usage Collapses Below $300B, Signaling Reserve Scarcity

2026-10-25, FP360 — CME FedWatch now prices a 40% chance of a 50bp cut by March 2027 as overnight reverse repo usage collapses below $300B, ...

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NatGas Storage Deficit Deepens as Winter Demand Looms; Futures Spike 5% COMMODITIES
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-25 18:00:44 UTC

NatGas Storage Deficit Deepens as Winter Demand Looms; Futures Spike 5%

2026-10-25, FP360 — U.S. natural gas storage injections have lagged the five-year average for the sixth consecutive week, leaving inventorie...

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SOFR Spikes 22bps as Dealer Balance Sheets Freeze; 50bp Emergency Cut Odds Hit 35% MARKETS
⏱ 3 min read • 2026-10-25 17:25:49 UTC

SOFR Spikes 22bps as Dealer Balance Sheets Freeze; 50bp Emergency Cut Odds Hit 35%

2026-10-25, FP360 — Overnight SOFR jumped 22bps to 4.68% as month-end balance-sheet constraints left primary dealers unable to intermediate ...

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