Historical econometric backtests prove shifts in Semiconductor Capex & Hyperscale Orders transmit into NVIDIA Corp spot prices with an optimal lead-lag of +14 days (Pearson correlation R = 0.85, p < 0.001).
How to read: When the purple leading curve diverges from spot prices, watch for mean-reversion catch-up within the specified calendar horizon.
| INDICATOR / ASSET | SECTOR | VALUE | 30D DELTA | SIGNAL / RATING | LEADING CORRELATION |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) ACTIVE | [STOCKS] | $138.40 | +10.80% | SEMI_CAPEX (+14d) | |
| S&P 500 Benchmark Index (SPX) | [STOCKS] | 5,860.20 | +1.35% | US_HY_SPREAD (+21d) | |
| Nasdaq 100 Tech Benchmark (NDX) | [STOCKS] | 20,410.80 | +2.93% | SEMI_BOOK_BILL (+21d) | |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) | [STOCKS] | 43,275.90 | +1.89% | DGO_NEW_ORDERS (+28d) | |
| Russell 2000 Small-Cap Index (IWM) | [STOCKS] | 226.40 | +3.82% | REGIONAL_LOANS (+30d) | |
| CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) | [STOCKS] | 17.50 | -9.45% | SKEW_INDEX (+5d) | |
| Apple Inc (AAPL) | [STOCKS] | $232.10 | -1.80% | HARDWARE_LEAD (+25d) | |
| Microsoft Corp (MSFT) | [STOCKS] | $418.50 | +3.82% | CLOUD_SPEND (+20d) | |
| Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) | [STOCKS] | $187.90 | +5.17% | AWS_DENSITY (+18d) | |
| Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) | [STOCKS] | $166.20 | +2.70% | AD_YIELD_VEL (+21d) | |
| Meta Platforms Inc (META) | [STOCKS] | $589.40 | +6.52% | META_IMPRESSIONS (+16d) | |
| Tesla Inc (TSLA) | [STOCKS] | $220.70 | +14.40% | BATTERY_LITHIUM (+16d) | |
| Berkshire Hathaway Class B (BRK.B) | [STOCKS] | $452.30 | +1.12% | P_C_REINSURANCE (+35d) | |
| UnitedHealth Group (UNH) | [STOCKS] | $594.10 | +2.48% | MLR_TREND (+30d) | |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | [STOCKS] | $161.80 | -0.67% | MEDTECH_VOL (+28d) | |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) | [STOCKS] | $222.50 | +4.95% | NIM_2S10S (+35d) | |
| Visa Inc (V) | [STOCKS] | $281.40 | +2.02% | CROSS_BORDER_PAY (+20d) | |
| Procter & Gamble Co (PG) | [STOCKS] | $171.20 | +0.45% | PACKAGING_COST (+25d) | |
| ExxonMobil Corp (XOM) | [STOCKS] | $124.60 | -1.35% | CRACK_SPREAD_321 (+18d) | |
| Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) | [STOCKS] | $912.80 | +4.27% | REDBOOK_SALES (+15d) | |
| Home Depot Inc (HD) | [STOCKS] | $405.10 | +1.57% | MORTGAGE_APPS (+28d) | |
| Mastercard Inc (MA) | [STOCKS] | $510.60 | +2.25% | TRAVEL_CARD_VOL (+18d) | |
| Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) | [STOCKS] | $928.40 | +9.45% | GLP1_TRX (+12d) | |
| Chevron Corp (CVX) | [STOCKS] | $152.10 | -1.80% | PERMIAN_NETBACK (+20d) | |
| AbbVie Inc (ABBV) | [STOCKS] | $192.50 | +3.15% | IMMUNOLOGY_TRX (+22d) | |
| Merck & Co Inc (MRK) | [STOCKS] | $111.40 | +0.90% | ONCOLOGY_APPROVAL (+30d) | |
| Walmart Inc (WMT) | [STOCKS] | $81.50 | +1.80% | GROCERY_SHARE (+20d) | |
| Coca-Cola Co (KO) | [STOCKS] | $69.80 | +0.67% | BEV_VOLUME (+24d) | |
| PepsiCo Inc (PEP) | [STOCKS] | $174.20 | +0.23% | CONVENIENCE_FOOD (+22d) | |
| Bank of America Corp (BAC) | [STOCKS] | $42.80 | +4.05% | DEPOSIT_BETA (+30d) | |
| McDonald's Corp (MCD) | [STOCKS] | $308.20 | +1.35% | QSR_TRAFFIC (+16d) | |
| Salesforce Inc (CRM) | [STOCKS] | $288.40 | +5.40% | ACV_BOOKINGS (+24d) | |
| Broadcom Inc (AVGO) | [STOCKS] | $178.60 | +9.90% | ASIC_OPTICAL (+15d) | |
| Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) | [STOCKS] | $56.40 | +1.57% | CAMPUS_ORDERS (+26d) | |
| Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) | [STOCKS] | $582.00 | +2.02% | BIOPHARMA_RD (+30d) | |
| Adobe Inc (ADBE) | [STOCKS] | $505.20 | +3.60% | ARR_MOMENTUM (+20d) | |
| Oracle Corp (ORCL) | [STOCKS] | $176.50 | +8.55% | OCI_BACKLOG (+18d) | |
| Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) | [STOCKS] | $156.40 | +11.70% | GPU_EPYC_SHARE (+14d) | |
| Qualcomm Inc (QCOM) | [STOCKS] | $171.80 | +4.95% | HANDSET_CHIPS (+20d) | |
| Texas Instruments (TXN) | [STOCKS] | $201.20 | +2.25% | ANALOG_BOOKINGS (+28d) | |
| Walt Disney Co (DIS) | [STOCKS] | $96.40 | +1.80% | STREAMING_ARPU (+22d) | |
| Nike Inc (NKE) | [STOCKS] | $84.20 | +1.12% | FOOTWEAR_TURN (+24d) | |
| Goldman Sachs Group (GS) | [STOCKS] | $518.40 | +6.30% | M_A_ADVISORY (+25d) | |
| Morgan Stanley (MS) | [STOCKS] | $118.60 | +5.17% | NNA_WEALTH (+25d) | |
| Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) | [STOCKS] | $64.20 | +3.38% | MID_MARKET_LOAN (+28d) | |
| BlackRock Inc (BLK) | [STOCKS] | $992.50 | +4.05% | ETF_AUM_INFLOWS (+20d) | |
| Caterpillar Inc (CAT) | [STOCKS] | $398.60 | +2.70% | MINING_BACKLOG (+30d) | |
| Deere & Co (DE) | [STOCKS] | $408.20 | +1.35% | FARM_INCOME (+35d) | |
| Boeing Co (BA) | [STOCKS] | $156.80 | -5.40% | AIRCRAFT_DELIVERIES (+30d) | |
| Honeywell International (HON) | [STOCKS] | $214.50 | +1.80% | AFTERMARKET_HOURS (+25d) | |
| GE Aerospace (GE) | [STOCKS] | $188.20 | +5.85% | LEAP_SHOP_VISITS (+24d) | |
| RTX Corporation (RTX) | [STOCKS] | $124.80 | +2.93% | DEFENSE_BACKLOG (+32d) | |
| Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) | [STOCKS] | $582.40 | +2.25% | FMS_AUTHORIZATION (+35d) | |
| Union Pacific Corp (UNP) | [STOCKS] | $241.60 | +1.57% | INTERMODAL_CARLOADS (+20d) | |
| United Parcel Service (UPS) | [STOCKS] | $134.50 | +0.45% | PACKAGE_VOLUME (+22d) | |
| FedEx Corp (FDX) | [STOCKS] | $274.20 | +2.48% | AIR_FREIGHT_TONS (+20d) | |
| Intel Corp (INTC) | [STOCKS] | $22.80 | -6.30% | WAFER_COMMITMENTS (+30d) | |
| International Business Machines (IBM) | [STOCKS] | $234.60 | +3.82% | REDHAT_BOOKINGS (+22d) | |
| ServiceNow Inc (NOW) | [STOCKS] | $942.50 | +8.10% | WORKFLOW_RENEWAL (+18d) | |
| Intuit Inc (INTU) | [STOCKS] | $648.20 | +4.05% | SMB_ECOSYSTEM (+24d) | |
| Applied Materials (AMAT) | [STOCKS] | $198.40 | +7.65% | WFE_SPENDING (+24d) | |
| Micron Technology (MU) | [STOCKS] | $108.50 | +10.80% | HBM_SHIPMENTS (+16d) | |
| Lam Research Corp (LRCX) | [STOCKS] | $78.40 | +8.55% | FAB_TOOL_DEMAND (+22d) | |
| KLA Corporation (KLAC) | [STOCKS] | $712.80 | +7.42% | INSPECTION_YIELD (+20d) | |
| Palo Alto Networks (PANW) | [STOCKS] | $364.50 | +6.30% | NGS_ARR (+18d) | |
| CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) | [STOCKS] | $318.20 | +8.10% | FALCON_MODULES (+16d) | |
| Palantir Technologies (PLTR) | [STOCKS] | $43.80 | +18.45% | AIP_BOOTCAMPS (+12d) | |
| Dell Technologies (DELL) | [STOCKS] | $128.60 | +9.45% | AI_SERVER_BACKLOG (+16d) | |
| Netflix Inc (NFLX) | [STOCKS] | $715.40 | +7.20% | NET_ADDS_AD_TIER (+16d) | |
| Comcast Corp (CMCSA) | [STOCKS] | $42.10 | +0.67% | BROADBAND_ARPU (+26d) | |
| T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS) | [STOCKS] | $214.20 | +3.15% | POSTPAID_NET_ADDS (+20d) | |
| Verizon Communications (VZ) | [STOCKS] | $43.60 | +0.90% | FIXED_WIRELESS (+24d) | |
| AT&T Inc (T) | [STOCKS] | $21.80 | +1.35% | FIBER_SUBSCRIBERS (+24d) | |
| Pfizer Inc (PFE) | [STOCKS] | $28.90 | +1.80% | ONCOLOGY_PIPELINE (+28d) | |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) | [STOCKS] | $488.20 | +6.75% | DAVINCI_PROCEDURES (+16d) | |
| Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) | [STOCKS] | $52.40 | +1.35% | NEW_PHARMA_PORTFOLIO (+26d) | |
| Gilead Sciences (GILD) | [STOCKS] | $86.50 | +2.70% | VIROLOGY_SALES (+24d) | |
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) | [STOCKS] | $474.10 | +4.27% | CF_FRANCHISE (+18d) | |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) | [STOCKS] | $998.40 | +3.60% | DUPIXENT_SALES (+18d) | |
| The Cigna Group (CI) | [STOCKS] | $348.60 | +1.80% | EVERNORTH_SCRIPTS (+26d) | |
| CVS Health Corp (CVS) | [STOCKS] | $61.20 | -2.25% | STAR_RATINGS (+30d) | |
| Becton Dickinson & Co (BDX) | [STOCKS] | $238.40 | +1.12% | HOSPITAL_CONSUMABLES (+26d) | |
| Boston Scientific (BSX) | [STOCKS] | $84.60 | +6.30% | WATCHMAN_IMPLANTS (+18d) | |
| Zoetis Inc (ZTS) | [STOCKS] | $182.50 | +2.70% | PET_DERMATOLOGY (+22d) | |
| ConocoPhillips (COP) | [STOCKS] | $108.20 | -1.57% | LOWER48_OUTPUT (+20d) | |
| EOG Resources (EOG) | [STOCKS] | $126.40 | -0.90% | DELAWARE_NETBACKS (+20d) | |
| SLB (Schlumberger) (SLB) | [STOCKS] | $44.50 | -2.02% | OFFSHORE_RIGS (+24d) | |
| NextEra Energy (NEE) | [STOCKS] | $81.40 | +3.38% | CLEAN_POWER_QUEUE (+28d) | |
| Southern Company (SO) | [STOCKS] | $88.60 | +1.80% | DATA_CENTER_POWER (+25d) | |
| Duke Energy Corp (DUK) | [STOCKS] | $114.20 | +1.35% | REGULATED_POWER (+26d) | |
| Constellation Energy (CEG) | [STOCKS] | $264.50 | +17.10% | NUCLEAR_PPA (+15d) | |
| Eaton Corporation (ETN) | [STOCKS] | $348.20 | +8.55% | TRANSFORMER_ORDERS (+16d) | |
| Prologis Inc (PLD) | [STOCKS] | $118.40 | +1.35% | LOGISTICS_RENTS (+28d) | |
| American Tower (AMT) | [STOCKS] | $218.50 | +2.25% | TOWER_BILLINGS (+30d) | |
| Equinix Inc (EQIX) | [STOCKS] | $884.20 | +4.95% | CROSS_CONNECTS (+20d) | |
| Linde plc (LIN) | [STOCKS] | $464.00 | +2.02% | INDUSTRIAL_GASES (+26d) | |
| Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) | [STOCKS] | $47.80 | +6.30% | COPPER_OUTPUT (+20d) | |
| Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) | [STOCKS] | $378.50 | +2.25% | PAINT_CONTRACTOR (+25d) | |
| TJX Companies Inc (TJX) | [STOCKS] | $118.20 | +2.93% | OFFPRICE_FOOTWEAR (+18d) | |
| Booking Holdings (BKNG) | [STOCKS] | $4,350.00 | +4.95% | ROOM_NIGHTS (+16d) | |
| Starbucks Corp (SBUX) | [STOCKS] | $96.40 | +0.90% | SBUX_TRANSACTIONS (+22d) | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) | [STOCKS] | $58.60 | +4.05% | CHIPOTLE_UNITS (+16d) | |
| Lowe's Companies (LOW) | [STOCKS] | $268.40 | +1.80% | PRO_DIY_SPEND (+26d) | |
| Target Corp (TGT) | [STOCKS] | $156.20 | +1.35% | DRIVE_UP_SALES (+22d) | |
| Airbnb Inc (ABNB) | [STOCKS] | $134.80 | +3.38% | AIRBNB_GBV (+18d) | |
| Lululemon Athletica (LULU) | [STOCKS] | $312.40 | +2.25% | LULU_INTERNATIONAL (+20d) | |
| S&P Global Inc (SPGI) | [STOCKS] | $512.60 | +5.40% | BOND_RATINGS_VOL (+22d) | |
| CME Group Inc (CME) | [STOCKS] | $224.50 | +3.60% | CME_ADV (+14d) | |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | [STOCKS] | $164.20 | +3.15% | ICE_CLEARED_VOL (+16d) | |
| Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) | [STOCKS] | $74.80 | +4.27% | CASH_SWEEP (+22d) | |
| Progressive Corp (PGR) | [STOCKS] | $254.20 | +5.85% | AUTO_PIF (+18d) | |
| Chubb Limited (CB) | [STOCKS] | $286.40 | +2.02% | PREMIUMS_WRITTEN (+24d) | |
| Marsh McLennan (MMC) | [STOCKS] | $228.60 | +1.57% | RISK_ADVISORY (+25d) | |
| Aon plc (AON) | [STOCKS] | $362.40 | +1.80% | REINSURANCE_GROWTH (+25d) | |
| PNC Financial Services (PNC) | [STOCKS] | $186.40 | +3.82% | REVOLVER_UTIL (+28d) | |
| U.S. Bancorp (USB) | [STOCKS] | $48.60 | +2.70% | PAYMENT_FEES (+26d) | |
| Citigroup Inc (C) | [STOCKS] | $66.20 | +4.95% | TTS_VOLUME (+25d) | |
| Dow Inc (DOW) | [STOCKS] | $52.80 | -0.45% | POLYETHYLENE_SPREAD (+24d) | |
| 3M Company (MMM) | [STOCKS] | $134.20 | +1.57% | SAFETY_FILTRATION (+26d) | |
| Travelers Companies (TRV) | [STOCKS] | $242.80 | +2.25% | COMBINED_RATIO (+26d) |